AA 606 · DFW → SAT

departs 9:43 PM CT · arrives 11:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 606 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?