AA 845 · CLT → SEA

departs 8:12 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM PT

Your aircraft is N982VJ (A321), coming in as AA 2250 from MBJ: landed 6:13 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 845 · CLT → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?