MQ 3366 · MIA → TYS

left the gate 6:25 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 6:03 PM ET → 8:20 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N259NN (E170), coming in as MQ 3491 from FPO: landed 3:35 PM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into TYS at that hour are often late

↓ TYS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3366 · MIA → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?