MQ 3580 · MIA → GGT

took off 12:06 PM ET · landed 12:54 PM EST (scheduled 12:05 PM ET → 1:24 PM EST)

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at GGT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GGT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ MIA is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Arrivals into GGT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GGT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3580 · MIA → GGT

Odds over time

How late did it get to GGT?