OH 5040 · SAV → DCA

departs 10:16 AM ET · arrives 12:09 PM ET

Your aircraft is N614NN (CRJ9), coming in as OH 5040 from DCA: landed 9:42 AM ET.

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 10am departures from SAV are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DCA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5040 · SAV → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?