OH 5215 · IAH → DCA

departs 10:27 AM CT · arrives 2:32 PM ET

Your aircraft is N501BG (CRJ7), coming in as OH 5188 from DFW: landed 9:26 AM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5215 · IAH → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?