OH 5308 · DCA → DAY

departs 9:08 AM ET · arrives 10:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into DAY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

DAY (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5308 · DCA → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?