OH 5634 · SDF → CLT

took off 12:34 PM ET · landed 1:37 PM ET (scheduled 11:46 AM ET → 1:23 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

SDF (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5634 · SDF → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?