WN 1440 · DCA → MCO

took off 2:14 PM ET · landed 4:34 PM ET (scheduled 11:52 AM ET → 2:19 PM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1440 · DCA → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?