WN 196 · DAL → SAT

departs 5:44 PM CT · arrives 7:00 PM CT

Your aircraft is N460WN (B737), coming in as WN 196 from ABQ: in the air, landing about 5:26 PM CT, 14 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
42%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 196 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?