WN 2474 · DAL → MCI

departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 8:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +30 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Cloud base down to 1,367 ft forecast at MCI that day

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling1,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2474 · DAL → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?