WN 259 · MDW → DCA

departs 7:16 AM CT · arrives 10:18 AM ET

Your aircraft is N464WN (B737), coming in as WN 4990 from LAS: landed 5:46 AM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 259 · MDW → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?