Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4742 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:01 PM ET (5 H 18 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4742 · SYR → DCA

departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands Now

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    19%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.