AA 2173 · MIA → CTG

took off 2:56 PM ET · expected to land 5:14 PM -05 (scheduled 12:34 PM ET → 3:30 PM -05)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CTG more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CTG?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
79%
Over 2 hours late
21%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CTG

↓ Arrivals into CTG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CTG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2173 · MIA → CTG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CTG?