Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 551 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

AA 551 · PVD → CLT

departs 1:28 AM ET · arrives 3:26 AM ET

Your aircraft is N897NN (B738).

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PVD that day

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 551 · PVD → CLT

Odds over time