Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM BRASIL · FLIGHT JJ 8190 LANDED 5:50 AM ET, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

JJ 8190 · GRU → MIA

took off · landed 5:50 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ GRU is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRU

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

GRU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

JJ 8190 · GRU → MIA

Odds over time