MQ 3959 · DCA → HSV

took off 8:16 AM ET · landed 8:54 AM CT (scheduled 8:03 AM ET → 9:09 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HSV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 8am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HSV (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3959 · DCA → HSV

Odds over time

How late did it get to HSV?