Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3099 LANDED 1:53 AM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

SY 3099 · CVG → MSP

took off 1:21 AM ET · landed 1:53 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SY's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3099 · CVG → MSP

Odds over time