WN 4835 · MCO → OKC

took off 1:20 PM ET · expected to land 2:46 PM CT (scheduled 12:38 PM ET → 2:43 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OKC?

LIVE

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4835 · MCO → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?