Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5729 LANDED 1:48 AM ET, ~35 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

YX 5729 · DCA → LEX

took off 12:44 AM ET · landed 1:48 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ DCA is busy at that time

↓ LEX usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LEX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5729 · DCA → LEX

Odds over time