Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 523SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 523 · ORD → DCA
departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 10:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
36%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.