Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 616 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

AF 616 · PTP → MIA

departs 7:10 AM AST · arrives 9:53 AM ET

Your aircraft is FHEPB (A320).

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PTP

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

PTP (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 616 · PTP → MIA

Odds over time