Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 1956 · DEN → OMA
departs 6:41 PM MT · arrives 9:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 33%
Tue 11/10 27%
Wed 11/11 24%
Thu 11/12 36%
Fri 11/13 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.