WN 3032 · MDW → SEA

departs 9:57 PM CT · arrives 12:20 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3032 · MDW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?