Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3032
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 3032 · MDW → SEA
departs 8:41 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 11/9 38%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 48%
Thu 11/12 48%
Fri 11/13 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.