Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 544 · CLT → BWI
departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 9:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 43%
Tue 11/10 36%
Wed 11/11 41%
Thu 11/12 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
53%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed – in 24h
–
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.