Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 957 · BWI → AUS
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 11:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 47%
Thu 11/12 40%
Fri 11/13 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.68 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.