tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1028 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1028 · MIA → AUA

departs 12:56 PM ET · arrives 4:57 PM AST
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at AUA more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to AUA?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.