tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3039 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3039 · LGA → MIA

departs 12:59 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±12 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.