tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 987 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 987 · MIA → SDQ

departs 11:18 AM ET · arrives 2:43 PM AST
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
20% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SDQ?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.