Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1348
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
B6 1348 · SJU → DCA
departs 6:46 PM AT · arrives 9:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 11/8 45%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 36%
Wed 11/11 33%
Thu 11/12 36%
Fri 11/13 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at SJU that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.53 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.