DL 2028 · MSP → FLL

took off 9:09 AM CT · expected to land 1:05 PM ET (scheduled 8:51 AM CT → 1:23 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2028 · MSP → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?