Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2167
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Today
DL 2167 · MSP → PDX
departs 11:00 AM CT · arrives 12:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/10 6%
Wed 11/11 5%
Thu 11/12 21%
Fri 11/13 15%
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at PDX that day
↑
11am departures from MSP are often late
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.