Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2266
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Today
DL 2266 · ATL → BUF
departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 4:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/10 15%
Wed 11/11 8%
Thu 11/12 16%
Fri 11/13 15%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
2pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts —
Ceiling —
Visibility —
Precip —
BUF (destination)
Gusts —
Ceiling —
Visibility —
Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.