Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3113
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Today
DL 3113 · MSP → CVG
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 3:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/10 8%
Wed 11/11 6%
Thu 11/12 31%
Fri 11/13 18%
Sat 11/14 26%
Sun 11/15 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↑
12pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.