MQ 4108 · MIA → BIM

departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 1:06 PM EST

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at BIM more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BIM?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BIM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4108 · MIA → BIM

Odds over time

How late will it get to BIM?