Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4184 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9

OO 4184 · DTW → MSP

departs 8:16 PM ET · arrives 9:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSP (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4184 · DTW → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?