Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4613 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, November 9

OO 4613 · MSP → ECP

departs 8:11 PM CT · arrives 11:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ECP (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4613 · MSP → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?