UA 1227 · SFO → ACV

left the gate 9:42 PM PT · taxiing (scheduled 6:44 PM PT → 8:06 PM PT)

Your aircraft is N14242 (B738), coming in as UA 1791 from SAN: landed 3:29 PM PT.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ACV more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ACV?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ACV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ACV (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1227 · SFO → ACV

Odds over time

How late will it get to ACV?