UA 2100 · MIA → EWR

departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 11:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

EWR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2100 · MIA → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?