Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1774
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9
WN 1774 · MIA → AUS
departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 11/7 37%
Sun 11/8 37%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 25%
Wed 11/11 22%
Thu 11/12 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±5 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 7,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.