Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 2624 · LIH → HNL
departs 7:05 PM HT · arrives 8:00 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Mon 11/9
Tue 11/10 9%
Wed 11/11 13%
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.