Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2624
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 2624 · LIH → HNL
departs 7:06 PM HT · arrives 8:01 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Mon 11/9 14%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 13%
Thu 11/12 22%
Fri 11/13 23%
Sat 11/14 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.