Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Nov 2, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3139
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 9 Tomorrow
WN 3139 · MSY → AUS
departs 9:25 PM CT · arrives 11:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 11/9
Thu 11/12 32%
Fri 11/13 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↓
Mondays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.