tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1491 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1491 · MIA → HOG

departs 12:23 PM ET · arrives 2:07 PM CST
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at HOG more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HOG?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.