Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1536 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

AA 1536 · DFW → FLL

departs 11:38 AM CT · arrives 3:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1536 · DFW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?