Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2497 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow

AA 2497 · MIA → FDF

departs 10:31 AM ET · arrives 2:59 PM AST

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at FDF more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FDF?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

FDF (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2497 · MIA → FDF

Odds over time

How late will it get to FDF?