tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2970 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2970 · ORD → MSP

departs 11:52 AM CT · arrives 1:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±4 pts −19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.