Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1290
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Today
DL 1290 · PDX → MSP
departs 11:52 AM PT · arrives 5:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 11/11 6%
Thu 11/12 7%
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.