Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2106
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
DL 2106 · MCI → MSP
departs 6:27 AM CT · arrives 7:58 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 11/8 5%
Mon 11/9 4%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 9%
Thu 11/12 7%
Fri 11/13 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
3%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
3%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.